{"id":25731,"date":"2025-12-04T19:00:24","date_gmt":"2025-12-04T19:00:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.criptofacil.com\/es\/?p=25731"},"modified":"2025-12-04T15:17:43","modified_gmt":"2025-12-04T15:17:43","slug":"correlacion-con-bitcoin-mantiene-a-coinbase-bajo-riesgo-de-una-desvalorizacion-extrema-del-90","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.criptofacil.com\/es\/correlacion-con-bitcoin-mantiene-a-coinbase-bajo-riesgo-de-una-desvalorizacion-extrema-del-90\/","title":{"rendered":"Correlaci\u00f3n con Bitcoin mantiene a Coinbase bajo riesgo de una desvalorizaci\u00f3n extrema del 90%"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Un <strong>an\u00e1lisis reciente del Trefis Team<\/strong>, publicado en la plataforma Great Speculations, lanza una advertencia contundente a los inversionistas. <strong>Las acciones de Coinbase Global (NASDAQ: COIN) enfrentan un riesgo existencial de desvalorizaci\u00f3n que podr\u00eda llegar al 90% en un escenario adverso.<\/strong> La alerta surge en un momento de tensi\u00f3n, con el papel acumulando una ca\u00edda de aproximadamente 25% en el \u00faltimo mes, presionado por la reciente correcci\u00f3n del mercado de criptomonedas.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-338496 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/www.criptofacil.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Coinbase-Queda.png\" alt=\"Coinbase\" width=\"687\" height=\"470\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Seg\u00fan el an\u00e1lisis, la desvalorizaci\u00f3n actual, que<strong> llev\u00f3 la acci\u00f3n alrededor de USD 265<\/strong>, es solo un reflejo superficial de un problema estructural m\u00e1s profundo. El desempe\u00f1o de la mayor casa de intercambio de criptomonedas de Estados Unidos sigue intr\u00ednseca y <strong>peligrosamente atado a la volatilidad de los precios de los activos digitales<\/strong>, como Bitcoin.<\/p>\n<p>La reciente ola de reducci\u00f3n forzada de posiciones en el sector y la <strong>incertidumbre sobre los pr\u00f3ximos movimientos<\/strong> de la tasa de inter\u00e9s de la Reserva Federal dejaron a la vista esta vulnerabilidad.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Lee tambi\u00e9n: <a style=\"font-size: 16px\" href=\"https:\/\/www.criptofacil.com\/es\/mejores-memecoins-para-comprar-mientras-pengu-sui-y-pump-fun-se-disparan-con-bitcoin-por-encima-de-usd-93-000\/\">Mejores memecoins para comprar mientras PENGU, Sui y Pump.fun se disparan con Bitcoin por encima de USD 93.000<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Coinbase en riesgo<\/h2>\n<p>El informe explica que <strong>el modelo de negocio de Coinbase, aunque hoy es m\u00e1s s\u00f3lido financieramente, carga con una fragilidad inherente.<\/strong> La empresa opera con una estructura de costos fijos elevados, mientras que sus ingresos son extraordinariamente sensibles a los ciclos del mercado.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Cuando los precios de las criptomonedas caen, los ingresos provenientes de tarifas de transacci\u00f3n, custodia de activos y participaci\u00f3n en protocolos de staking se ven afectados.<\/strong> Esta din\u00e1mica convierte la llamada palanca operativa en una desventaja severa durante los per\u00edodos de baja, amplificando potencialmente las p\u00e9rdidas.<\/p>\n<p>Los analistas destacan que, aunque <strong>la empresa present\u00f3 n\u00fameros fundamentales robustos en el \u00faltimo a\u00f1o<\/strong> \u2014con un crecimiento de ingresos cercano al 49% y <strong>m\u00e1rgenes netos por encima del 40%<\/strong>\u2014, esta fortaleza puede revelarse ilusoria r\u00e1pidamente. El m\u00faltiplo Precio\/Beneficio de 23.5x, similar al del S&amp;P 500, oculta la naturaleza extremadamente c\u00edclica del negocio.<\/p>\n<p>El estudio recurre a un precedente hist\u00f3rico reciente y alarmante para sustentar su tesis. Durante la crisis de inflaci\u00f3n y el endurecimiento monetario de 2022, <strong>las acciones de Coinbase llegaron a caer m\u00e1s del 90%<\/strong>. Una p\u00e9rdida mucho m\u00e1s intensa que la del \u00edndice S&amp;P 500 en el mismo per\u00edodo. La recuperaci\u00f3n completa del valor del papel tom\u00f3 911 d\u00edas, un plazo casi dos veces mayor que el necesario para que se recuperara el mercado accionario tradicional.<\/p>\n<p>Los per\u00edodos de aversi\u00f3n al riesgo y contracci\u00f3n de liquidez secan la actividad del ecosistema cripto con rapidez. <strong>Para Coinbase, este entorno se traduce en una doble presi\u00f3n.<\/strong> Primero, la ca\u00edda simult\u00e1nea de los vol\u00famenes transaccionales. Adem\u00e1s, la reducci\u00f3n de los m\u00faltiplos de valoraci\u00f3n aplicados a su negocio.<\/p>\n<p>De esta forma, <strong>si Bitcoin rompe soportes importantes y entra en una trayectoria de ca\u00edda sostenida<\/strong>, la casa de intercambio podr\u00eda verse forzada a revisitar los niveles m\u00e1s bajos de su valoraci\u00f3n, repitiendo el escenario catastr\u00f3fico de hace dos a\u00f1os.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Lee tambi\u00e9n: <a style=\"font-size: 16px\" href=\"https:\/\/www.criptofacil.com\/es\/sui-se-dispara-con-el-factor-coinbase-el-precio-puede-llegar-a-usd-2\/\">SUI se dispara con el factor Coinbase: \u00bfel precio puede llegar a USD 2?<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Un an\u00e1lisis reciente del Trefis Team, publicado en la plataforma Great Speculations, lanza una advertencia contundente a los inversionistas. Las acciones de Coinbase Global (NASDAQ: COIN) enfrentan un riesgo existencial de desvalorizaci\u00f3n que podr\u00eda llegar al 90% en un escenario adverso. La alerta surge en un momento de tensi\u00f3n, con el papel acumulando una ca\u00edda [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":140,"featured_media":25732,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"default","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"set","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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