{"id":25548,"date":"2025-12-01T18:00:27","date_gmt":"2025-12-01T18:00:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.criptofacil.com\/es\/?p=25548"},"modified":"2025-12-01T15:50:02","modified_gmt":"2025-12-01T15:50:02","slug":"trader-legendario-advierte-bitcoin-puede-caer-a-usd-58-000","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.criptofacil.com\/es\/trader-legendario-advierte-bitcoin-puede-caer-a-usd-58-000\/","title":{"rendered":"Trader legendario advierte: Bitcoin puede caer a USD 58.000"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>El <strong>trader legendario Peter Brandt<\/strong> emiti\u00f3 otra<strong> previsi\u00f3n pesimista para el precio de Bitcoin este lunes (01)<\/strong>, alertando sobre una gran ca\u00edda inminente. Seg\u00fan Brandt, el precio de Bitcoin puede retroceder a\u00fan m\u00e1s y caer a USD 58.000 en las pr\u00f3ximas semanas.<\/p>\n<p>Si eso ocurre, Bitcoin formar\u00eda el patr\u00f3n esperado:<strong> alcanzar un m\u00e1ximo hist\u00f3rico en el a\u00f1o posterior al halving, luego caer alrededor de un 70% a 80% y establecer un nuevo fondo<\/strong>. La criptomoneda inici\u00f3 el fin de semana por encima de USD 91.000, pero sufri\u00f3 una fuerte ca\u00edda del 5% y lleg\u00f3 a aproximadamente USD 86.629 este lunes (01).<\/p>\n<p>En una publicaci\u00f3n en X tambi\u00e9n este lunes, Brandt comparti\u00f3 otro motivo para su pesimismo respecto al precio de la criptomoneda. Se trata de un gr\u00e1fico logar\u00edtmico semanal de Bitcoin que muestra los m\u00e1ximos y m\u00ednimos de los \u00faltimos 12 a\u00f1os.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Lee tambi\u00e9n: <a style=\"font-size: 16px\" href=\"https:\/\/www.criptofacil.com\/es\/libertad-en-el-mercado-cripto-exige-responsabilidad-y-seguridad-afirma-el-diputado-aureo-ribeiro\/\">Libertad en el mercado cripto exige responsabilidad y seguridad, afirma el diputado Aureo Ribeiro<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Riesgo de liquidaci\u00f3n en Bitcoin<\/h2>\n<p>En el <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/PeterLBrandt\/status\/1995322684776054898\/photo\/1\">gr\u00e1fico<\/a>, Brandt destaca el l\u00edmite superior de la zona verde inferior, <strong>comenzando por debajo de USD 70.000, lo que indica espacio para nuevas ca\u00eddas en el precio de Bitcoin<\/strong>. Adem\u00e1s, el soporte del l\u00edmite inferior de esa zona verde est\u00e1 en torno a USD 40.000, lo que se\u00f1alar\u00eda un posible fondo extremo.<\/p>\n<p>Por otro lado, Brandt destaca el aumento de liquidaciones masivas por parte de inversores institucionales. Solo este lunes, el mercado sufri\u00f3 otra <strong>ola de<a href=\"https:\/\/www.coinglass.com\/LiquidationData\"> liquidaciones<\/a> superiores a USD 500 millones<\/strong>. Sin embargo, Brandt alerta que este movimiento podr\u00eda llegar a empresas con reservas en Bitcoin, que podr\u00edan verse obligadas a liquidar posiciones si el precio contin\u00faa cayendo.<\/p>\n<p>Esta combinaci\u00f3n de factores puede desencadenar una<strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.criptofacil.com\/es\/bitcoin-hoy-01-12-2025-btc-tiene-su-peor-resultado-mensual-del-ano-y-salidas-record-en-los-etfs\/\"> ca\u00edda del precio de Bitcoin<\/a> por debajo de USD 60.000.<\/strong> Para ello, Bitcoin debe perder el primer soporte, que est\u00e1 cerca de USD 61.200.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-338255\" src=\"https:\/\/www.criptofacil.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/G7DPWtjaUAAO5fZ.jpeg\" alt=\"Bitcoin.\" width=\"1588\" height=\"755\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Aunque sigue optimista respecto a Bitcoin a largo plazo, Brandt predijo una ca\u00edda a USD 58.000 el mes pasado, cuando <strong>BTC rompi\u00f3 el soporte psicol\u00f3gico de USD 100.000<\/strong>. Uno de sus an\u00e1lisis coloc\u00f3 el principal soporte de Bitcoin en torno a USD 81.000, el mismo nivel al que la criptomoneda cay\u00f3 recientemente.<\/p>\n<h2>Tendencia hist\u00f3rica de Bitcoin<\/h2>\n<p>A diferencia de lo que muchos traders esperaban, Bitcoin sigue su ciclo de cuatro a\u00f1os basado en la reducci\u00f3n de emisi\u00f3n. <strong>Este ciclo de halving suele incluir m\u00e1ximos hist\u00f3ricos entre 12 y 18 meses despu\u00e9s del evento y m\u00e1ximos de mercado alcista alrededor de los 1.060 a 1.070 d\u00edas.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Ambos escenarios ocurrieron y<strong> Bitcoin renov\u00f3 su m\u00e1ximo en torno a USD 126.000<\/strong>. Desde entonces, el precio experiment\u00f3 una ca\u00edda superior al 30%, a\u00fan por debajo de los niveles t\u00edpicos de un mercado bajista.<\/p>\n<p>Los inversores de largo plazo (LTH) y las ballenas originales (OG) vendieron sus posiciones en l\u00ednea con el mercado, mientras que los inversores de corto plazo y las instituciones est\u00e1n comprando en la baja. Por eso, las probabilidades de una ca\u00edda del BTC son mayores, ya que el precio realizado de la criptomoneda, as\u00ed como la media m\u00f3vil de 200 semanas, est\u00e1n en la<strong> zona de USD 56.000.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>La amplitud de la ca\u00edda sigue siendo la principal cuesti\u00f3n, dado que el precio de Bitcoin se desplom\u00f3 m\u00e1s del 80% y 70% en ciclos bajistas anteriores. Notablemente, <strong>BTC est\u00e1 m\u00e1s de un 32% por debajo de su m\u00e1ximo hist\u00f3rico de USD 126.198<\/strong>, con traders afirmando que este ciclo bajista ser\u00e1 menos intenso que los anteriores.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Lee tambi\u00e9n: <a style=\"font-size: 16px\" href=\"https:\/\/www.criptofacil.com\/es\/altseason-2026-mira-las-altcoins-para-comprar-ahora-y-las-senales-que-indican-la-proxima-subida\/\">Altseason 2026? Mira las altcoins para comprar ahora y las se\u00f1ales que indican la pr\u00f3xima subida<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>El trader legendario Peter Brandt emiti\u00f3 otra previsi\u00f3n pesimista para el precio de Bitcoin este lunes (01), alertando sobre una gran ca\u00edda inminente. Seg\u00fan Brandt, el precio de Bitcoin puede retroceder a\u00fan m\u00e1s y caer a USD 58.000 en las pr\u00f3ximas semanas. Si eso ocurre, Bitcoin formar\u00eda el patr\u00f3n esperado: alcanzar un m\u00e1ximo hist\u00f3rico en [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":34,"featured_media":25549,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"default","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"set","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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