{"id":25443,"date":"2025-11-28T20:00:07","date_gmt":"2025-11-28T20:00:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.criptofacil.com\/es\/?p=25443"},"modified":"2025-11-28T19:13:23","modified_gmt":"2025-11-28T19:13:23","slug":"para-el-ganador-del-nobel-el-responsable-de-la-caida-del-bitcoin-tiene-nombre-donald-trump","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.criptofacil.com\/es\/para-el-ganador-del-nobel-el-responsable-de-la-caida-del-bitcoin-tiene-nombre-donald-trump\/","title":{"rendered":"Para el ganador del Nobel, el responsable de la ca\u00edda del Bitcoin tiene nombre: Donald Trump"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>El economista Paul Krugman, ganador del Premio Nobel, public\u00f3 un an\u00e1lisis en el que afirma que las recientes ca\u00eddas y la volatilidad de Bitcoin<\/strong> est\u00e1n directamente relacionadas con la influencia y, sobre todo, con el declive pol\u00edtico de Donald Trump. En su art\u00edculo \u201cLa estrategia de Trump se est\u00e1 deshaciendo\u201d, Krugman sostiene que el BTC se convirti\u00f3 en \u201cuna apuesta por el trumpismo\u201d, y que su precio cae cuando esa apuesta parece perder fuerza.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-large wp-image-338197\" src=\"https:\/\/www.criptofacil.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/Bitcoin-1ano-1151x840.jpeg\" alt=\"Bitcoin\" width=\"1151\" height=\"840\" \/><\/p>\n<p>La cr\u00edtica del economista surge en un contexto de altas expectativas iniciales. Con el inicio del <strong>segundo mandato de Trump, la industria de las criptomonedas fue tomada por un optimismo significativo, impulsado por medidas pro cripto de la administraci\u00f3n<\/strong>, como la firma del GENIUS Act y los indultos de alto perfil para figuras del sector. Sin embargo, para Krugman, esa misma asociaci\u00f3n ahora juega en contra del mercado.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Lee tambi\u00e9n: <a style=\"font-size: 16px\" href=\"https:\/\/www.criptofacil.com\/es\/cruce-entre-miedo-extremo-y-muerte-indica-gran-alza-del-btc-bitcoin-hyper-se-beneficiara\/\">Cruce entre miedo extremo y muerte indica gran alza del BTC; \u00bfBitcoin Hyper se beneficiar\u00e1?<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>El detonante de la ca\u00edda del Bitcoin: tarifas y p\u00e9rdida de confianza<\/h2>\n<p>El punto de inflexi\u00f3n, seg\u00fan el an\u00e1lisis, ocurri\u00f3 el 10 de octubre. En esa ocasi\u00f3n, <strong>Trump anunci\u00f3 en Truth Social su plan de imponer tarifas del 100% sobre las importaciones chinas.<\/strong> El anuncio provoc\u00f3 una inmediata aversi\u00f3n al riesgo en los mercados globales, lo que result\u00f3 en una ca\u00edda marcada que hizo que el mercado de criptomonedas perdiera m\u00e1s de USD 19 mil millones en pocas horas.<\/p>\n<p>Aunque Trump posteriormente suaviz\u00f3 sus declaraciones, el sentimiento del mercado no se recuper\u00f3 por completo. <strong>Krugman va m\u00e1s all\u00e1 de la pol\u00edtica arancelaria y se\u00f1ala un factor m\u00e1s estructural: la ca\u00edda en las encuestas de popularidad de Trump.<\/strong><\/p>\n<blockquote><p>\u201cEl poder de Trump est\u00e1 visiblemente disminuyendo, entonces el precio de Bitcoin, que en la pr\u00e1ctica se volvi\u00f3 una apuesta al trumpismo, se desplom\u00f3\u201d, escribi\u00f3 el economista en su art\u00edculo en Substack.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<h2>Bitcoin como un \u201cActivo Trump\u201d<\/h2>\n<p>Krugman desarrolla la tesis de que la correlaci\u00f3n existe porque <strong>grandes donantes y empresas del sector de las criptomonedas apoyaron fuertemente a Trump, y su administraci\u00f3n retribuy\u00f3 con gestos pol\u00edticos favorables.<\/strong> De esa manera, un Trump pol\u00edticamente debilitado tendr\u00eda menos capacidad para cumplir sus promesas e imponer una agenda beneficiosa para el sector.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>\u201cUn Trump debilitado tiene menos capacidad para imponer su voluntad en todos los frentes, incluidos sus esfuerzos para promover criptomonedas\u201d, argument\u00f3. \u201cEl Bitcoin se convirti\u00f3 en una inversi\u00f3n de Trump, y la ca\u00edda en el precio de Bitcoin es un indicador del declive de la influencia de Trump sobre el Partido Republicano.\u201d<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Datos recientes de la revista <strong>The Economist muestran un \u00edndice de aprobaci\u00f3n neta de Trump en -19%, con un 57% de desaprobaci\u00f3n.<\/strong> Lo que refuerza el argumento de Krugman sobre el declive de su popularidad.<\/p>\n<h2>Escenario actual del mercado<\/h2>\n<p>Tras la fuerte correcci\u00f3n, que llev\u00f3 a <strong>Bitcoin al rango de USD 82.000 a mediados de noviembre, el activo mostr\u00f3 se\u00f1ales de estabilizaci\u00f3n en los \u00faltimos d\u00edas.<\/strong> Al momento del \u00faltimo registro, Bitcoin se negociaba cerca de USD 91.000, seg\u00fan datos de CoinGecko.<\/p>\n<p>El an\u00e1lisis de Krugman pone un nuevo foco sobre los factores que impulsan el mercado de las criptomonedas, sugiriendo que,<strong> en el corto plazo, la trayectoria de Bitcoin podr\u00eda estar m\u00e1s vinculada a la pol\u00edtica interna de Estados Unidos<\/strong> que a fundamentos tecnol\u00f3gicos o de adopci\u00f3n global.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Lee tambi\u00e9n:\u00a0 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.criptofacil.com\/es\/bnb-al-alza-pero-el-escenario-sigue-siendo-de-riesgo-analisis\/\">BNB al alza, pero el escenario sigue siendo de riesgo \u2013 An\u00e1lisis<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>El economista Paul Krugman, ganador del Premio Nobel, public\u00f3 un an\u00e1lisis en el que afirma que las recientes ca\u00eddas y la volatilidad de Bitcoin est\u00e1n directamente relacionadas con la influencia y, sobre todo, con el declive pol\u00edtico de Donald Trump. En su art\u00edculo \u201cLa estrategia de Trump se est\u00e1 deshaciendo\u201d, Krugman sostiene que el BTC [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":140,"featured_media":25444,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"default","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"set","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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