{"id":24461,"date":"2025-11-10T08:00:21","date_gmt":"2025-11-10T08:00:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.criptofacil.com\/es\/?p=24461"},"modified":"2025-11-07T22:33:06","modified_gmt":"2025-11-07T22:33:06","slug":"bitcoin-podria-capturar-dos-tercios-del-mercado-del-oro-segun-jpmorgan","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.criptofacil.com\/es\/bitcoin-podria-capturar-dos-tercios-del-mercado-del-oro-segun-jpmorgan\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin podr\u00eda capturar dos tercios del mercado del oro, seg\u00fan JPMorgan"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Los analistas de JPMorgan sostienen que el valor justo de Bitcoin podr\u00eda alcanzar los USD 170.000 en los pr\u00f3ximos seis a doce meses.<\/strong> La proyecci\u00f3n, detallada en un informe reciente, no es una simple predicci\u00f3n de mercado, sino el<strong> resultado de un modelo mec\u00e1nico que compara la criptomoneda con el oro.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>El n\u00facleo de la tesis es ambicioso: Bitcoin est\u00e1 destinado a <strong>capturar dos tercios del mercado de inversi\u00f3n privada en oro, que actualmente asciende a USD 6,2 billones en ETFs, lingotes y monedas.<\/strong> Para el banco, el activo digital est\u00e1 claramente infravalorado para desempe\u00f1ar ese papel.<\/p>\n<p>El estratega<a href=\"https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/in\/nikolaos-panigirtzoglou-5012975?originalSubdomain=uk\"> Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou<\/a> y su equipo partieron de una premisa muy extendida: si <strong>Bitcoin es realmente el \u00aboro digital\u00bb, su capitalizaci\u00f3n de mercado deber\u00eda reflejar una parte significativa del dinero invertido en el metal f\u00edsico.<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Lee tambi\u00e9n: <a style=\"font-size: 16px\" href=\"https:\/\/www.criptofacil.com\/es\/galaxy-reduce-drasticamente-su-proyeccion-para-el-precio-de-bitcoin-a-finales-de-2025\/\">Galaxy reduce dr\u00e1sticamente su proyecci\u00f3n para el precio de Bitcoin a finales de 2025<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>\u00bfBitcoin como oro digital? A\u00fan no<\/h2>\n<p>El c\u00e1lculo de <strong>JPMorgan asume que la criptomoneda consume 1,8 veces m\u00e1s \u201ccapital de riesgo\u201d que el oro.<\/strong> Aplicando esta m\u00e9trica, la actual capitalizaci\u00f3n de mercado del BTC, cercana a USD 2,1 billones, tendr\u00eda que aumentar en dos tercios para alcanzar su valor justo dentro de este universo de reserva de valor, lo que implicar\u00eda un precio de USD 170.000.<\/p>\n<p>El informe tambi\u00e9n ofrece cierto alivio a los inversores, sugiriendo que <strong>lo peor de la reciente turbulencia ya habr\u00eda pasado.<\/strong> La fuerte correcci\u00f3n observada en octubre y noviembre se atribuy\u00f3 principalmente a un<strong> ciclo de desapalancamiento en los mercados de futuros perpetuos de Bitcoin.<\/strong> Este escenario, combinado con la actual infravaloraci\u00f3n, crea un entorno favorable para una posible subida significativa.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>\u201cEl mensaje de la reciente estabilizaci\u00f3n es que el desapalancamiento en los futuros perpetuos probablemente ha quedado atr\u00e1s\u201d, se\u00f1alaron los analistas del banco en el informe.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Adem\u00e1s, JPMorgan identifica cambios en el comportamiento de los inversores que podr\u00edan beneficiar al Bitcoin. Con la <strong>volatilidad del oro en aumento, la criptomoneda podr\u00eda convertirse en una cobertura m\u00e1s atractiva frente a los riesgos del mercado accionario.<\/strong> El banco tambi\u00e9n minimiza el posible impacto de un endurecimiento en las reservas bancarias de Estados Unidos, destacando que la liquidez del sistema financiero en general sigue expandi\u00e9ndose, lo que tradicionalmente favorece a los activos de riesgo como el Bitcoin.<\/p>\n<p>La proyecci\u00f3n representa una reversi\u00f3n optimista respecto a finales de 2024, cuando el Bitcoin se negociaba por encima de su valor justo seg\u00fan el modelo. Ahora, cotizando en torno a USD 101.000, aproximadamente USD 69.000 por debajo del punto de referencia de USD 170.000, el camino hacia una revalorizaci\u00f3n en comparaci\u00f3n con el oro parece abierto.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Lee tambi\u00e9n:\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.criptofacil.com\/es\/ballenas-compran-usd-277-000-en-bitcoin-hyper-en-solo-2-dias-la-proxima-cripto-en-explotar\/\">Ballenas compran USD 277.000 en Bitcoin Hyper en solo 2 d\u00edas \u2013 \u00bfLa pr\u00f3xima cripto en explotar?<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Los analistas de JPMorgan sostienen que el valor justo de Bitcoin podr\u00eda alcanzar los USD 170.000 en los pr\u00f3ximos seis a doce meses. La proyecci\u00f3n, detallada en un informe reciente, no es una simple predicci\u00f3n de mercado, sino el resultado de un modelo mec\u00e1nico que compara la criptomoneda con el oro. El n\u00facleo de la [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":140,"featured_media":24462,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"default","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"set","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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