{"id":23155,"date":"2025-10-13T08:00:37","date_gmt":"2025-10-13T08:00:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.criptofacil.com\/es\/?p=23155"},"modified":"2025-10-10T22:02:21","modified_gmt":"2025-10-10T22:02:21","slug":"etfs-de-solana-no-repetiran-el-exito-de-bitcoin-y-ethereum-segun-jp-morgan","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.criptofacil.com\/es\/etfs-de-solana-no-repetiran-el-exito-de-bitcoin-y-ethereum-segun-jp-morgan\/","title":{"rendered":"ETFs de Solana no repetir\u00e1n el \u00e9xito de Bitcoin y Ethereum, seg\u00fan JP Morgan"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Es probable que los <strong>ETFs de Solana (SOL)<\/strong> sean aprobados pronto, y de hecho algunos ya est\u00e1n disponibles en el mercado. Pero el banco JP Morgan ha lanzado una advertencia: <strong>no tendr\u00e1n el mismo \u00e9xito<\/strong> que los ETFs de Bitcoin (BTC) y Ethereum (ETH).<\/p>\n<p>La Comisi\u00f3n de Bolsa y Valores de EE. UU. (SEC, por sus siglas en ingl\u00e9s) debe decidir sobre casi 16 solicitudes de ETFs de criptomonedas spot este mes, incluidos fondos de Solana y XRP. La fecha l\u00edmite final para los ETFs spot de Solana es el pr\u00f3ximo viernes 10 de enero. Sin embargo, en un an\u00e1lisis reciente, JP Morgan afirm\u00f3 que estos <strong>ETFs de la criptomoneda probablemente<\/strong> <strong>captar\u00e1n poco m\u00e1s de 1.000 millones de d\u00f3lares en 2025.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Las probabilidades de aprobaci\u00f3n del ETF de Solana son altas, pero los analistas esperan que la demanda de los inversores sea limitada. Liderados por Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou, los analistas estiman que los<strong> ETFs de Solana deber\u00edan recibir unos 1.500 millones de d\u00f3lares en entradas netas durante el primer a\u00f1o.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Para tener una idea, los <strong>ETFs de Ethereum captaron m\u00e1s de 9.000 millones de d\u00f3lares en su primer a\u00f1o<\/strong>. Mientras tanto, los ETFs de Bitcoin batieron r\u00e9cords y cerraron 2024 con m\u00e1s de 36.000 millones de d\u00f3lares en activos bajo gesti\u00f3n.<\/p>\n<p>Esta estimaci\u00f3n se basa en los flujos iniciales del <strong>ETF REX Osprey Solana, que atrajo casi 350 millones de d\u00f3lares desde su lanzamiento hace tres meses.<\/strong> Por otro lado, los ETFs de Ethereum (excluyendo el de Grayscale) captaron 2.300 millones de d\u00f3lares en el mismo per\u00edodo.<\/p>\n<p>\u00abUna proporci\u00f3n similar surge si observamos el tama\u00f1o relativo del TVL (Valor Total Bloqueado) en DeFi de Solana en comparaci\u00f3n con el de Ethereum. Aplicar esa <strong>proporci\u00f3n de 1 a 7 a las entradas netas de 9.600 millones de d\u00f3lares en los ETFs de Ethereum en el primer a\u00f1o<\/strong> sugiere que los ETFs de Solana podr\u00edan recibir alrededor de 1.500 millones de d\u00f3lares durante el primer a\u00f1o\u00bb, dijeron los analistas.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Lee tambi\u00e9n:<a href=\"https:\/\/www.criptofacil.com\/es\/jupiter-lanza-jupusd-y-agita-el-mercado-solana-y-snort-en-alza\/\"> Jupiter lanza $JupUSD y agita el mercado: Solana y $SNORT en alza<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>\u00bfLos ETFs de Solana ser\u00e1n un fracaso?<\/h2>\n<p>Los analistas advirtieron, sin embargo, que<strong> los ETFs de Solana podr\u00edan quedarse incluso por debajo de estas proyecciones<\/strong>. Citaron la percepci\u00f3n m\u00e1s d\u00e9bil que tienen los inversores sobre Solana en comparaci\u00f3n con Ethereum. Para el mercado, Solana no tiene la misma solidez en las finanzas descentralizadas (DeFi) y esto podr\u00eda afectar a las inversiones en sus ETFs.<\/p>\n<p>Adem\u00e1s, Solana ha experimentado un descenso en la actividad on-chain, como la ca\u00edda de direcciones activas desde noviembre. Otro factor que podr\u00eda reducir el inter\u00e9s es la<strong> \u00absaturaci\u00f3n de ETFs\u00bb<\/strong>, ya que fondos de DOGE y Cardano (ADA) tambi\u00e9n podr\u00edan llegar al mercado. Esto podr\u00eda diluir las inversiones y dejar menos recursos disponibles para los inversores.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>\u00abLa alta probabilidad de aprobaci\u00f3n para los ETFs spot de Solana est\u00e1 reforzada por el hecho de que ya existe un contrato de futuros establecido en la CME (Bolsa Mercantil de Chicago)\u00bb, dijeron los analistas de JP Morgan, liderados por Panigirtzoglou.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>En septiembre, la gestora REX Osprey logr\u00f3 lanzar el <strong>primer ETF de Dogecoin (DOGE)<\/strong> registrado bajo la Ley de Sociedades de Inversi\u00f3n de 1940 de EE. UU.<\/p>\n<p>Los analistas tambi\u00e9n observaron que el optimismo en torno a la aprobaci\u00f3n del ETF ya se reflej\u00f3 en la prima del <a href=\"https:\/\/www.grayscale.com\/funds\/grayscale-solana-trust\">Grayscale Solana Trust (GSOL)<\/a> sobre su valor liquidativo. En septiembre, la prima lleg\u00f3 a superar el 750%, pero ahora ha ca\u00eddo a casi cero. La ca\u00edda en la prima del GSOL refleja el optimismo por la llegada de nuevos veh\u00edculos de exposici\u00f3n a la criptomoneda.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-333645\" src=\"https:\/\/www.criptofacil.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Screenshot-2025-10-09-at-13.54.24.png\" alt=\"GSOL.\" width=\"1952\" height=\"764\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Esta \u00faltima previsi\u00f3n contrasta con proyecciones anteriores de otro equipo de analistas de JPMorgan, liderado por Kenneth B. Worthington, que estim\u00f3 a principios de este a\u00f1o que los<strong> ETFs de Solana podr\u00edan atraer entre 2.700 y 5.200 millones de d\u00f3lares en flujos netos en un plazo de seis a doce meses<\/strong>, en caso de ser aprobados.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Es probable que los ETFs de Solana (SOL) sean aprobados pronto, y de hecho algunos ya est\u00e1n disponibles en el mercado. Pero el banco JP Morgan ha lanzado una advertencia: no tendr\u00e1n el mismo \u00e9xito que los ETFs de Bitcoin (BTC) y Ethereum (ETH). La Comisi\u00f3n de Bolsa y Valores de EE. UU. (SEC, por [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":34,"featured_media":23156,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"default","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"set","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[1760],"tags":[1779,1771,1852,1811,1767,1833,1834,1816],"class_list":["post-23155","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mercado","tag-criptoactivos","tag-criptomonedas","tag-etf","tag-inversion","tag-mercado","tag-sol","tag-solana","tag-super-titular"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>ETFs de Solana no repetir\u00e1n el \u00e9xito de Bitcoin y Ethereum, seg\u00fan JP Morgan<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Dos equipos de analistas de JPMorgan presentan escenarios diferentes sobre los ETFs de Solana. 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