{"id":22508,"date":"2025-10-01T15:00:36","date_gmt":"2025-10-01T15:00:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.criptofacil.com\/es\/?p=22508"},"modified":"2025-10-01T15:08:08","modified_gmt":"2025-10-01T15:08:08","slug":"las-altcoins-se-encaminan-hacia-una-altseason-con-un-escenario-de-reset-segun-estudio","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.criptofacil.com\/es\/las-altcoins-se-encaminan-hacia-una-altseason-con-un-escenario-de-reset-segun-estudio\/","title":{"rendered":"Las altcoins se encaminan hacia una \u201caltseason\u201d con un escenario de reset, seg\u00fan estudio"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Un an\u00e1lisis profundo de los datos del mercado de criptomonedas revela un <strong>escenario poco com\u00fan y potencialmente rentable para los inversores que miran a largo plazo.<\/strong> De acuerdo con cifras recopiladas por Joao Wedson, <strong>solo el 24% de las altcoins listadas en Binance se negocian actualmente por encima de su media m\u00f3vil simple de 200 d\u00edas (SMA-200).<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-332656 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/www.criptofacil.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Binance-Altcoins.png\" alt=\"Binance\" width=\"649\" height=\"667\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Este <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptoquant.com\/insights\/quicktake\/68dab6434885f90809fc2809-Only-24-of-Binance-Altcoins-Are-Above-the-200-Day-SMA?utm_source=twitter&amp;utm_medium=sns&amp;utm_campaign=quicktake&amp;utm_content=joawedson&amp;utm_term=binance\">indicador t\u00e9cnico<\/a>, que suaviza el precio de un activo durante un per\u00edodo prolongado, se utiliza con frecuencia para determinar la tendencia de largo plazo. Cuando la proporci\u00f3n de criptomonedas que superan esta m\u00e9trica es tan baja, la se\u00f1al hist\u00f3rica es clara:<strong> podr\u00eda tratarse de una ventana \u00fanica de acumulaci\u00f3n.<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Lee tambi\u00e9n: <a style=\"font-size: 16px\" href=\"https:\/\/www.criptofacil.com\/es\/bitcoin-hoy-01-10-2025-btc-abre-uptober-al-alza-y-metaplanet-compra-5-200-bitcoins\/\">Bitcoin Hoy 01\/10\/2025: BTC abre \u201cuptober\u201d al alza y Metaplanet compra 5.200 Bitcoins<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Lejos de la euforia, cerca de la oportunidad<\/h2>\n<p>El contexto lo es todo en los ciclos del mercado cripto. <strong>Hist\u00f3ricamente, cuando casi el 100% de las altcoins superan su SMA de 200 d\u00edas, el mercado suele encontrarse en un pico de euforia<\/strong>, coincidiendo a menudo con los m\u00e1ximos de los ciclos de Bitcoin.<\/p>\n<p>Ese es el momento en que el FOMO (miedo a quedarse fuera) domina y los precios tienden a estar inflados. <strong>El escenario contrario, como el actual, con la m\u00e9trica cerca de m\u00ednimos, se\u00f1ala una oportunidad s\u00f3lida de acumulaci\u00f3n.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>La gran mayor\u00eda de los activos se negocian por debajo de su media de largo plazo, lo que refleja un mercado deprimido, pero lejos de un estado euf\u00f3rico. Es precisamente en esta franja donde los inversores m\u00e1s estrat\u00e9gicos suelen construir posiciones, buscando aprovechar el pr\u00f3ximo movimiento alcista.<\/p>\n<h2>Camino hacia la \u201caltseason\u201d<\/h2>\n<p>Este desarrollo llega tras un periodo de<strong> fuerte volatilidad<\/strong> que liquid\u00f3 posiciones con exceso de apalancamiento, despejando el terreno para una recuperaci\u00f3n m\u00e1s sostenible.<\/p>\n<p>En este momento, <strong>Bitcoin, considerado el \u201cox\u00edgeno\u201d del mercado, muestra se\u00f1ales de fortaleza al recuperar niveles relevantes.<\/strong> Sin embargo, una fase dominada por BTC tiene efectos directos sobre las altcoins. Si Bitcoin avanza con demasiada fuerza, las altcoins suelen quedar rezagadas; si muestra debilidad excesiva, estas se deterioran.<\/p>\n<p>El escenario ideal para una <strong>\u201caltseason\u201d \u2014un periodo de subidas generalizadas en las altcoins\u2014 es un Bitcoin estable.<\/strong> Esa estabilidad crea el ambiente de confianza necesario para que el capital fluya hacia activos de mayor riesgo y potencial de rentabilidad.<\/p>\n<p>El mercado parece estar entrando ahora en una fase de reset, con <strong>dos caminos posibles<\/strong>: que Bitcoin se mantenga estable, permitiendo que las altcoins se fortalezcan hacia finales de a\u00f1o, o que la dominancia de BTC siga en aumento, lo que provocar\u00eda una capitulaci\u00f3n final de las altcoins. <strong>Las primeras evidencias apuntan al primer escenario en el \u00faltimo trimestre.<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Lee tambi\u00e9n:\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.criptofacil.com\/es\/blackrock-acumula-el-4-de-la-oferta-de-bitcoin-y-analista-comenta-extraordinario\/\">BlackRock acumula el 4% de la oferta de Bitcoin y analista comenta: \u201cextraordinario\u201d<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Un an\u00e1lisis profundo de los datos del mercado de criptomonedas revela un escenario poco com\u00fan y potencialmente rentable para los inversores que miran a largo plazo. De acuerdo con cifras recopiladas por Joao Wedson, solo el 24% de las altcoins listadas en Binance se negocian actualmente por encima de su media m\u00f3vil simple de 200 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":140,"featured_media":22509,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"default","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"set","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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