{"id":22248,"date":"2025-09-28T08:00:07","date_gmt":"2025-09-28T08:00:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.criptofacil.com\/es\/?p=22248"},"modified":"2025-09-26T23:12:19","modified_gmt":"2025-09-26T23:12:19","slug":"arthur-hayes-preve-precio-del-bitcoin-en-us-3-millones","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.criptofacil.com\/es\/arthur-hayes-preve-precio-del-bitcoin-en-us-3-millones\/","title":{"rendered":"Arthur Hayes prev\u00e9 precio del Bitcoin en US$ 3 millones"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>El debate sobre el <strong>futuro del precio del Bitcoin<\/strong> adquiri\u00f3 nuevos matices tras las audaces proyecciones realizadas por <strong>Arthur Hayes,<\/strong> cofundador del exchange BitMEX. Seg\u00fan el analista, la moneda digital podr\u00eda alcanzar<strong> US$ 3,4 millones<\/strong> en 2028, impulsada principalmente por la expansi\u00f3n de la base monetaria de Estados Unidos.<\/p>\n<p>Hayes <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptohayes.substack.com\/p\/four-seven\">sostiene<\/a> que un eventual gobierno de <strong>Donald Trump<\/strong> podr\u00eda recurrir a la emisi\u00f3n de nueva deuda para financiar un d\u00e9ficit p\u00fablico. En este escenario, el Tesoro estadounidense tendr\u00eda que colocar en el mercado m\u00e1s de <strong>US$ 15 billones<\/strong> en bonos, volumen que ser\u00eda en gran parte absorbido por la Reserva Federal. <strong>Esta inyecci\u00f3n de liquidez crear\u00eda un entorno favorable para el crecimiento de los activos digitales, especialmente el Bitcoin.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>El modelo utilizado por Hayes se basa en una <strong>correlaci\u00f3n observada durante la pandemia de COVID-19<\/strong>. En ese periodo, <strong>el precio del Bitcoin subi\u00f3 en promedio 0,19%<\/strong> por cada d\u00f3lar de cr\u00e9dito creado. Si este patr\u00f3n se repite, la criptomoneda podr\u00eda alcanzar valores in\u00e9ditos, llegando a la zona de <strong>US$ 3 millones.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>A pesar de lo audaz de la proyecci\u00f3n, <strong>Hayes mantiene cautela<\/strong>. Afirma que no cree plenamente que el Bitcoin alcance ese nivel en tan poco tiempo, pero defiende que la tendencia ser\u00e1 claramente ascendente.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>\u201cNo s\u00e9 si llegar\u00e1 a US$ 3,4 millones, pero ser\u00e1 mucho m\u00e1s alto que los US$ 115.000 actuales\u201d, declar\u00f3.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-332120 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.criptofacil.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Preco-do-Bitcoin-11.png\" alt=\"Pre\u00e7o do Bitcoin (11)\" width=\"963\" height=\"550\" \/><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Lee tambi\u00e9n: <a style=\"font-size: 16px\" href=\"https:\/\/www.criptofacil.com\/es\/bitcoin-hyper-supera-los-us-18-millones-mientras-la-actualizacion-del-bitcoin-core-v30-divide-a-la-comunidad\/\">Bitcoin Hyper supera los US$ 18 millones mientras la actualizaci\u00f3n del Bitcoin Core v30 divide a la comunidad<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>\u00bfPuede el Bitcoin llegar a US$ 3 millones?<\/h2>\n<p>Sin embargo, especialistas consideran la proyecci\u00f3n <strong>excesivamente optimista<\/strong>. El analista espa\u00f1ol <strong>Javier Espasa Perib\u00e1\u00f1ez<\/strong>, por ejemplo, evalu\u00f3 que el Bitcoin dif\u00edcilmente alcanzar\u00e1 <strong>US$ 3 millones en 2028<\/strong>. No obstante, admite que pol\u00edticas monetarias expansivas y la entrada de inversores institucionales <strong>podr\u00edan llevar al activo a niveles r\u00e9cord.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Espasa Perib\u00e1\u00f1ez se\u00f1ala tambi\u00e9n qu\u00e9 factores como el<strong> halving<\/strong> \u2014que reduce la emisi\u00f3n de nuevas monedas\u2014 y una eventual crisis financiera global podr\u00edan fortalecer la tesis de valorizaci\u00f3n.<\/p>\n<p>Otro elemento clave es la<strong> regulaci\u00f3n en EE.\u202fUU.<\/strong>, que permite la emisi\u00f3n de stablecoins vinculadas a deuda p\u00fablica. Esto dar\u00eda la posibilidad al Tesoro de diversificar la venta de bonos, reduciendo la dependencia de grandes acreedores como China y Jap\u00f3n.<\/p>\n<p>En este contexto, figuras relevantes del sector, como <strong>Willy Woo<\/strong>, sugieren que Tether, emisora de la mayor stablecoin del mundo, podr\u00eda convertirse en el <strong>mayor comprador de bonos estadounidenses.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Las estimaciones de Hayes no est\u00e1n solas. <strong>Cathie Wood<\/strong>, CEO de ARK Invest, ya hab\u00eda predicho que el Bitcoin superar\u00eda <strong>US$ 1 mill\u00f3n en 2030<\/strong>, y recientemente elev\u00f3 su expectativa a valores a\u00fan mayores. El empresario <strong>Michael Saylor<\/strong>, presidente de <strong>MicroStrategy<\/strong>, tambi\u00e9n cree que el criptoactivo tiene un destino natural de acercarse a niveles millonarios.<\/p>\n<p>Aunque las proyecciones var\u00edan, el consenso entre analistas es que el <strong>Bitcoin deber\u00eda seguir apreci\u00e1ndose en la pr\u00f3xima d\u00e9cada.<\/strong> Las razones incluyen la expansi\u00f3n monetaria, el avance de los <strong>ETFs de Bitcoin<\/strong> y la creciente desconfianza en el sistema financiero tradicional. Aunque los US$ 3 millones de Hayes parezcan lejanos, el debate refuerza la percepci\u00f3n de que la <strong>criptomoneda sigue siendo uno de los activos m\u00e1s prometedores del futuro.<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Lee tambi\u00e9n: <a style=\"font-size: 16px\" href=\"https:\/\/www.criptofacil.com\/es\/5-criptomonedas-mas-prometedoras-para-comprar-ahora-mientras-tether-prepara-ipo-de-us-500-000-millones\/\">5 criptomonedas m\u00e1s prometedoras para comprar ahora<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>El debate sobre el futuro del precio del Bitcoin adquiri\u00f3 nuevos matices tras las audaces proyecciones realizadas por Arthur Hayes, cofundador del exchange BitMEX. Seg\u00fan el analista, la moneda digital podr\u00eda alcanzar US$ 3,4 millones en 2028, impulsada principalmente por la expansi\u00f3n de la base monetaria de Estados Unidos. Hayes sostiene que un eventual gobierno [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":36,"featured_media":22250,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"default","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"set","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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