{"id":20660,"date":"2025-08-26T22:00:49","date_gmt":"2025-08-26T22:00:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.criptofacil.com\/es\/?p=20660"},"modified":"2025-08-26T19:12:26","modified_gmt":"2025-08-26T19:12:26","slug":"datos-de-binance-encienden-alerta-roja-para-traders-alcistas-en-bitcoin","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.criptofacil.com\/es\/datos-de-binance-encienden-alerta-roja-para-traders-alcistas-en-bitcoin\/","title":{"rendered":"Datos de Binance encienden alerta roja para traders alcistas en Bitcoin"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Los traders siguen mostrando optimismo respecto a la<strong> revalorizaci\u00f3n de Bitcoin (BTC)<\/strong>, a pesar de las ca\u00eddas registradas en los \u00faltimos d\u00edas. Sin embargo, <strong>los datos de negociaci\u00f3n de agosto en Binance han revelado una clara divergencia<\/strong>. Mientras el sentimiento del mercado permanece optimista, los mercados de futuros muestran una <strong>p\u00e9rdida de fuerza en el precio del Bitcoin.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Esta discrepancia resalta los crecientes riesgos de un exceso de optimismo en operaciones apalancadas. Si el precio del Bitcoin entra en una correcci\u00f3n prolongada, muchos traders podr\u00edan ser liquidados, lo que podr\u00eda generar un <strong>efecto domin\u00f3 con ca\u00eddas todav\u00eda m\u00e1s pronunciadas.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Pese a las ca\u00eddas significativas del Bitcoin a lo largo del mes, las tasas de financiaci\u00f3n de los contratos de futuros en Binance se han mantenido constantemente positivas. Seg\u00fan datos de <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptoquant.com\/insights\/quicktake\/68ad1ed9eae98556c03c160c-Binance-Reveals-Market-Imbalance-Elevated-Funding-Rates-Amid-Bitcoins-Drop\">CryptoQuant<\/a>, estas tasas <strong>oscilaron entre 0,005 y 0,008<\/strong> la mayor\u00eda de los d\u00edas.<\/p>\n<p>Estos niveles elevados indican que los traders han mantenido una<strong> preferencia agresiva por posiciones largas apalancadas<\/strong>, llegando a pagar una prima para apostar por la recuperaci\u00f3n del precio. Sin embargo, el valor de Bitcoin no acompa\u00f1\u00f3 ese sesgo alcista, lo que despierta dudas sobre si el sentimiento del mercado est\u00e1 desconectado de los fundamentos reales.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-329361\" src=\"https:\/\/www.criptofacil.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/hRblxWIPk_c842a239e38a3a1d1817fb078bbe6615950f01db0dbb0ea16d96896349784d05.webp\" alt=\"Bitcoin.\" width=\"1280\" height=\"720\" \/><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Lee tambi\u00e9n: <a style=\"font-size: 16px\" href=\"https:\/\/www.criptofacil.com\/es\/ethereum-cae-pero-podria-superar-los-5-000-usd-si-mantiene-este-soporte\/\">Ethereum cae, pero podr\u00eda superar los 5.000\u202fUSD si mantiene este soporte<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Exceso de optimismo y riesgo para Bitcoin<\/h2>\n<p>De este escenario pueden surgir dos posibles resultados. El primero es el exceso de optimismo, en que muchos traders interpretan la ca\u00edda reciente como una simple <strong>correcci\u00f3n temporal<\/strong> y contin\u00faan manteniendo posiciones largas, pese al aumento de p\u00e9rdidas acumuladas y de los costes de financiaci\u00f3n.<\/p>\n<p>El segundo es el riesgo de liquidaciones masivas,<strong> derivado del primer punto<\/strong>. Las posiciones largas con alto apalancamiento siguen expuestas a ventas forzadas. Si el precio contin\u00faa cayendo, estas liquidaciones podr\u00edan escalar y provocar p\u00e9rdidas de dos d\u00edgitos en Bitcoin.<\/p>\n<p>Un episodio repentino de liquidaciones en cadena \u2014conocido como long squeeze\u2014 puede acelerar a\u00fan m\u00e1s el retroceso de BTC y aumentar la <strong>inestabilidad<\/strong> del mercado. El dominio de Binance en las operaciones globales de futuros de Bitcoin amplifica tanto el optimismo como el riesgo.<\/p>\n<p>En consecuencia, las \u201caltas\u201d tasas de financiaci\u00f3n en Binance no solo reflejan el sentimiento de los traders, sino que tambi\u00e9n influyen directamente en la acci\u00f3n del precio. Si el mercado no valida este optimismo con una recuperaci\u00f3n, el riesgo de un long squeeze crece considerablemente.<\/p>\n<h2>Un mercado con bases fr\u00e1giles<\/h2>\n<p>M\u00e1s all\u00e1 de las tasas de financiaci\u00f3n, el \u00faltimo an\u00e1lisis de <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptoquant.com\/insights\/quicktake\/68ad1ed9eae98556c03c160c-Binance-Reveals-Market-Imbalance-Elevated-Funding-Rates-Amid-Bitcoins-Drop\">Glassnode<\/a> apunta a una <strong>p\u00e9rdida de fortaleza<\/strong> en la estructura de mercado de Bitcoin, ya que la demanda on-chain muestra claros signos de <strong>debilitamiento<\/strong>. Los monederos activos diarios y las comisiones de transacci\u00f3n han disminuido, reflejando un menor uso org\u00e1nico de la red.<\/p>\n<p>Los vol\u00famenes de transferencia s\u00ed aumentaron, pero principalmente debido a<strong> reubicaciones motivadas por la volatilidad<\/strong>, no a una mayor demanda real y sostenida de Bitcoin.<\/p>\n<p>Esto sugiere que, aunque la actividad diaria se haya enfriado, los <strong>flujos especulativos de corto plazo<\/strong> siguen teniendo un peso considerable en el mercado. Adem\u00e1s, los indicadores de flujos de capital muestran estancamiento: la participaci\u00f3n de \u201ccapital caliente\u201d (Hot Capital Share) permanece cerca de su rango m\u00e1ximo, y los flujos de capital realizado se est\u00e1n desacelerando.<\/p>\n<p>En palabras de Glassnode:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>\u00abEl sentimiento del mercado ha pasado de la euforia a la fragilidad, como se refleja en la p\u00e9rdida de momentum tanto en el mercado spot como en derivados, el aumento de la demanda de coberturas en opciones y la cautela mostrada en los flujos de ETFs. Las pr\u00f3ximas semanas podr\u00edan depender de la entrada de nueva liquidez o de una consolidaci\u00f3n m\u00e1s profunda\u00bb.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<ul>\n<li>Lee tambi\u00e9n: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.criptofacil.com\/es\/mercado-alcista-podria-durar-anos-dice-asesor-de-trump-conoce-las-mejores-preventas\/\">Mercado alcista podr\u00eda durar a\u00f1os, dice asesor de Trump \u2013 Conoce las mejores preventas<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Los traders siguen mostrando optimismo respecto a la revalorizaci\u00f3n de Bitcoin (BTC), a pesar de las ca\u00eddas registradas en los \u00faltimos d\u00edas. Sin embargo, los datos de negociaci\u00f3n de agosto en Binance han revelado una clara divergencia. Mientras el sentimiento del mercado permanece optimista, los mercados de futuros muestran una p\u00e9rdida de fuerza en el [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":34,"featured_media":20661,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"default","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"set","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[1760],"tags":[1766,1781,1782,1779,1771,1767,1758],"class_list":["post-20660","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mercado","tag-analisis","tag-bitcoin","tag-btc","tag-criptoactivos","tag-criptomonedas","tag-mercado","tag-titular"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Datos de Binance encienden alerta roja para traders alcistas en Bitcoin<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Los traders se mantienen optimistas sobre la futura subida de Bitcoin, pero los datos de mercado encienden una fuerte se\u00f1al de alerta para ellos.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, 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