{"id":15857,"date":"2025-05-27T15:00:25","date_gmt":"2025-05-27T15:00:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.criptofacil.com\/es\/?p=15857"},"modified":"2025-05-27T13:15:11","modified_gmt":"2025-05-27T13:15:11","slug":"tres-razones-por-las-que-el-bitcoin-podria-no-llegar-a-los-120-000-usd","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.criptofacil.com\/es\/tres-razones-por-las-que-el-bitcoin-podria-no-llegar-a-los-120-000-usd\/","title":{"rendered":"Tres razones por las que el Bitcoin podr\u00eda no llegar a los 120.000 USD"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>El Bitcoin (BTC) subi\u00f3 un 3,38% en las \u00faltimas 48 horas e intenta recuperarse de la correcci\u00f3n del viernes (23).<\/strong> Para muchos analistas, esto podr\u00eda ser una se\u00f1al de que el precio se est\u00e1 preparando para alcanzar un nuevo m\u00e1ximo hist\u00f3rico.<\/p>\n<p>Sin embargo, los<strong> datos t\u00e9cnicos y on-chain<\/strong> muestran por qu\u00e9 la revisi\u00f3n del precio del BTC hacia su m\u00e1ximo hist\u00f3rico de 111.959 USD o un ascenso hacia los 120.000 USD es poco probable.<\/p>\n<p><strong>La perspectiva a largo plazo es generalmente optimista para el Bitcoin.<\/strong> Sin embargo, a medio plazo \u2013incluyendo 2025\u2013 los datos muestran que es altamente <strong>improbable que el <a href=\"https:\/\/www.criptofacil.com\/es\/bitcoin-hoy-27-de-mayo-de-2025\/\">precio de Bitcoin<\/a> establezca un nuevo m\u00e1ximo hist\u00f3rico<\/strong> por encima de los 120.000 USD. Las tres razones que apuntan a este movimiento son:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Los datos t\u00e9cnicos sugieren una posible reversi\u00f3n o correcci\u00f3n a corto plazo.<\/li>\n<li>Las ballenas que poseen entre 100.000 y 1 mill\u00f3n de BTC est\u00e1n reduciendo sus posiciones.<\/li>\n<li>Pausa a corto plazo.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Bitcoin podr\u00eda experimentar una reversi\u00f3n alcista y no llegar a los 120.000 USD<\/h2>\n<p>El cierre de la vela en <strong>el gr\u00e1fico semanal muestra que el precio del Bitcoin rompi\u00f3 el m\u00e1ximo hist\u00f3rico anterior de 110.000 USD<\/strong>, pero no logr\u00f3 cerrar la semana por encima de esa marca. Esta formaci\u00f3n t\u00e9cnica es conocida como <strong>\u00abpatr\u00f3n de fallo de swing\u00bb<\/strong>, en el que el activo no demuestra fuerza para superar un nivel clave.<\/p>\n<p>Adem\u00e1s, el <a href=\"https:\/\/charts.bitbo.io\/monthly-rsi\/\"><strong>\u00cdndice de Fuerza Relativa (RSI)<\/strong> <\/a>muestra un m\u00e1ximo m\u00e1s bajo en comparaci\u00f3n con el m\u00e1ximo hist\u00f3rico de Bitcoin, exhibiendo un patr\u00f3n cl\u00e1sico de divergencia. La falta de alineaci\u00f3n entre el precio y el indicador muestra la <strong>falta de momentum alcista<\/strong>, lo que frecuentemente lleva a una correcci\u00f3n en el activo subyacente.<\/p>\n<p>En este sentido, <strong>el aumento del 43% que llev\u00f3 al BTC de 76.555 USD a 110.000 USD es una oscilaci\u00f3n de precio importante en plazos m\u00e1s largos<\/strong> que los inversores deben observar. Si el precio est\u00e1 sobreextendido, como sugieren los indicadores, es probable que se necesite una correcci\u00f3n.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-320590\" src=\"https:\/\/www.criptofacil.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/PC8593JL.png\" alt=\"An\u00e1lise Bitcoin.\" width=\"2433\" height=\"1333\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Cuando la mayor\u00eda de las subidas o <strong>tendencias alcistas se agotan<\/strong>, se observa una correcci\u00f3n hacia un valor justo o de descuento. En este caso, el punto medio del aumento del 43% mencionado anteriormente, en 93.024 USD, ser\u00eda el valor justo. Una ca\u00edda por debajo de este nivel se considerar\u00eda un modo de descuento, y es frecuentemente donde los inversores inteligentes o ballenas se acumulan.<\/p>\n<p>Un art\u00edculo anterior de CoinGape destac\u00f3 <strong>cuatro razones por las que el precio de Bitcoin podr\u00eda caer a 100.000 USD<\/strong>, lo que est\u00e1 alineado con la perspectiva anterior. El art\u00edculo mencion\u00f3 una se\u00f1al impl\u00edcita de venta basada en la volatilidad como una de las razones para una retracci\u00f3n.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Lee tambi\u00e9n: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.criptofacil.com\/es\/bitcoin-hoy-27-de-mayo-de-2025\/\">Bitcoin hoy, 27 de mayo de 2025: BTC mantiene soporte y ETH lidera ganancias<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Las ballenas se deshacen de BTC<\/h2>\n<p>Los datos de blockchain de <a href=\"https:\/\/app.santiment.net\/charts\/BGvJbtPk__sCl\">Santiment<\/a> muestran que <strong>las ballenas que poseen entre 100.000 y 1 mill\u00f3n de BTC est\u00e1n vendiendo<\/strong>. Las posiciones de estos inversores inteligentes aumentaron de 647.730 a 679.630 BTC entre febrero y abril de 2025.<\/p>\n<p>Se acumularon cuando el precio de Bitcoin se consolid\u00f3 entre 75.000 y 88.000 USD. Ahora, estos inversores <strong>est\u00e1n deshaci\u00e9ndose de sus BTC y a\u00f1adiendo obst\u00e1culos al precio<\/strong>, que ya se encuentra por debajo de un nivel importante de resistencia.<\/p>\n<p>Normalmente, cuando el precio de Bitcoin se acerca a su m\u00e1ximo hist\u00f3rico anterior o establece un nuevo m\u00e1ximo, hay <strong>mucha actividad de realizaci\u00f3n de ganancias<\/strong>. Los inversores que compraron en el m\u00e1ximo anterior o antes del aumento est\u00e1n intentando obtener beneficios. Como resultado, el precio del BTC sigue consolid\u00e1ndose alrededor de los m\u00e1ximos anteriores.<\/p>\n<p>El<strong> indicador de Ganancia\/P\u00e9rdida Realizada en la Red (NPL, por sus siglas en ingl\u00e9s)<\/strong> aument\u00f3 de 2.3 mil millones de USD a 9.18 mil millones de USD, con el precio del BTC subiendo de 82.000 a 111.000 USD. El historial muestra que grandes aumentos en el NPL suelen coincidir con m\u00e1ximos locales, ya que los inversores venden para realizar ganancias.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-320591\" src=\"https:\/\/www.criptofacil.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Bitcoin-BTC-12-scaled.png\" alt=\"Baleias de Bitcoin.\" width=\"2560\" height=\"867\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Finalmente, el gr\u00e1fico semanal muestra debilidad, lo cual se refleja claramente en el comportamiento de las ballenas y el pico del indicador NPL. A medida que m\u00e1s inversores registran ganancias, las posibilidades de una correcci\u00f3n hacia los niveles clave de soporte son muy altas.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Lee tambi\u00e9n: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.criptofacil.com\/es\/grupo-mediatico-de-trump-planea-invertir-3-000-millones-de-dolares-en-criptomonedas\/\">Grupo medi\u00e1tico de Trump planea invertir 3.000 millones de d\u00f3lares en criptomonedas<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>El Bitcoin (BTC) subi\u00f3 un 3,38% en las \u00faltimas 48 horas e intenta recuperarse de la correcci\u00f3n del viernes (23). Para muchos analistas, esto podr\u00eda ser una se\u00f1al de que el precio se est\u00e1 preparando para alcanzar un nuevo m\u00e1ximo hist\u00f3rico. Sin embargo, los datos t\u00e9cnicos y on-chain muestran por qu\u00e9 la revisi\u00f3n del precio [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":34,"featured_media":15858,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"default","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"set","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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