{"id":13152,"date":"2025-04-08T16:00:27","date_gmt":"2025-04-08T16:00:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.criptofacil.com\/es\/?p=13152"},"modified":"2025-04-08T14:38:17","modified_gmt":"2025-04-08T14:38:17","slug":"bitcoin-muestra-resiliencia-en-medio-de-la-crisis-global-segun-binance-research","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.criptofacil.com\/es\/bitcoin-muestra-resiliencia-en-medio-de-la-crisis-global-segun-binance-research\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin muestra resiliencia en medio de la crisis global, seg\u00fan Binance Research"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Un informe reciente publicado por Binance Research revela <strong>datos clave sobre el desempe\u00f1o de Bitcoin<\/strong> durante las recientes tensiones comerciales globales. El estudio analiza los<strong> efectos de las tarifas<\/strong> impuestas por EE. UU. y las <strong>represalias internacionales<\/strong> en los mercados financieros, especialmente en relaci\u00f3n con Bitcoin. Seg\u00fan el documento, <strong>Bitcoin ha demostrado una gran resiliencia<\/strong> ante este entorno desafiante.<\/p>\n<p>De acuerdo con los<a href=\"https:\/\/www.binance.com\/en\/research\/analysis\/tariff-escalation-and-crypto-markets\/\"> datos<\/a>, entre enero y abril de 2025, <strong>Bitcoin experiment\u00f3 una ca\u00edda del 19,1%<\/strong>. Aunque significativa, esta ca\u00edda es menor en comparaci\u00f3n con la mayor\u00eda de los activos en el mercado. En el mismo per\u00edodo, el sector de criptomonedas en su conjunto retrocedi\u00f3 un 25,9%, en gran medida impulsado por Bitcoin, dado que es el activo de mayor capitalizaci\u00f3n de mercado.<\/p>\n<p>Por otro lado,<strong> las altcoins tuvieron un desempe\u00f1o mucho peor<\/strong> que la criptomoneda m\u00e1s valiosa. Ethereum, por ejemplo, cay\u00f3 un 44,1%, las memecoins se desplomaron un 58,1%, y los tokens de Inteligencia Artificial perdieron un 52,5% de su valor. En el mismo per\u00edodo, el \u00edndice S&amp;P 500 registr\u00f3 una ca\u00edda del 17,1%.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-315309 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/www.criptofacil.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/Binance-FED-Bitcoin-Criptomoeda-Inflacao.png\" alt=\"O gr\u00e1fico apresenta as probabilidades de cortes nas taxas de juros pelo Federal Reserve em incrementos de 25 pontos-base (0,25%). Segundo os dados, h\u00e1 34,1% de probabilidade para um \u00fanico corte, 36,5% para dois cortes, 11,5% para tr\u00eas cortes e apenas 1,3% para quatro ou mais cortes de juros. O eixo vertical mostra a escala de probabilidade de 0% a 40%, enquanto o eixo horizontal lista as possibilidades de quantidade de cortes, variando de um at\u00e9 cinco ou mais. A an\u00e1lise revela que a maior parte do mercado (36,5%) espera dois cortes de 0,25% cada, seguido por 34,1% que projeta apenas um corte, indicando cautela nas expectativas de flexibiliza\u00e7\u00e3o monet\u00e1ria.\" width=\"724\" height=\"430\" \/><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Lee tambi\u00e9n: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.criptofacil.com\/es\/bitcoin-hoy-08-04-2025-btc-roza-los-80-000-dolares-y-mantiene-la-tendencia-alcista\/\">Bitcoin Hoy 08\/04\/2025: BTC roza los 80.000 d\u00f3lares y mantiene la tendencia alcista<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Bitcoin muestra resiliencia<\/h2>\n<p>El estudio tambi\u00e9n revel\u00f3 datos importantes sobre la relaci\u00f3n de <strong>volatilidad de BTC con otras criptomonedas<\/strong>. Mientras que el BTC experiment\u00f3 picos de <strong>volatilidad superiores al 70%<\/strong> durante los anuncios tarifarios, la segunda criptomoneda m\u00e1s grande del mercado, Ethereum, lleg\u00f3 a superar la marca del 100%.<\/p>\n<p>Adem\u00e1s, los datos mostraron un paralelo interesante. La correlaci\u00f3n de 30 d\u00edas entre Bitcoin y el S&amp;P 500 subi\u00f3 a 0,47 en marzo. Mientras tanto, la correlaci\u00f3n con el oro se volvi\u00f3 negativa (-0,22), lo que indica un alineamiento temporal con activos de riesgo tradicionales.<\/p>\n<p>Esto significa que, <strong>cuando las acciones suben, Bitcoin tiende a subir tambi\u00e9n<\/strong>. Por el contrario, cuando las acciones caen, BTC tambi\u00e9n retrocede. Esto indica que, en este momento, los inversionistas est\u00e1n tratando a Bitcoin como un activo de riesgo, similar a las acciones de empresas. Este tratamiento como un activo de mercado ya hab\u00eda sido destacado por un informe reciente de CryptoQuant, que traz\u00f3 el mismo paralelo, pero en relaci\u00f3n con los ETFs de Bitcoin.<\/p>\n<h2>Expectativas con la Reserva Federal (FED)<\/h2>\n<p>Finalmente,<strong> el informe se\u00f1ala que los pr\u00f3ximos d\u00edas podr\u00edan ser cruciales para el sector.<\/strong> Esto se debe a que la reuni\u00f3n del FOMC prevista para los d\u00edas 18 y 19 de marzo podr\u00eda traer informaci\u00f3n clave.<\/p>\n<p>Si el organismo determina que <strong>la inflaci\u00f3n est\u00e1 bajo control<\/strong>, podr\u00eda se\u00f1alar recortes en las tasas de inter\u00e9s. Este escenario es hist\u00f3ricamente positivo para los activos de riesgo como Bitcoin, ya que las inyecciones de liquidez en el mercado suelen impulsar la demanda de criptomonedas.<\/p>\n<p>Por otro lado, si las presiones inflacionarias persisten, la <strong>Reserva Federal podr\u00eda mantener las tasas de inter\u00e9s altas<\/strong> por m\u00e1s tiempo, lo que tiende a limitar la recuperaci\u00f3n de los activos digitales a corto plazo. Los datos sobre el empleo y la inflaci\u00f3n ser\u00e1n cruciales para la decisi\u00f3n de la FED.<\/p>\n<p>Cualquier se\u00f1al de <strong>desaceleraci\u00f3n econ\u00f3mica<\/strong> podr\u00eda acelerar los recortes de tasas. Por lo tanto, el impacto de las tarifas en los precios internos ser\u00e1 un factor clave. Los economistas consultados en el estudio estiman que una guerra comercial prolongada podr\u00eda costar a la econom\u00eda global hasta 1,4 billones de d\u00f3lares en producci\u00f3n perdida.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Lee tambi\u00e9n: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.criptofacil.com\/es\/bitwise-lanza-tres-nuevos-etfs-enfocados-en-empresas-del-sector-cripto\/\">Bitwise lanza tres nuevos ETFs enfocados en empresas del sector cripto<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Un informe reciente publicado por Binance Research revela datos clave sobre el desempe\u00f1o de Bitcoin durante las recientes tensiones comerciales globales. El estudio analiza los efectos de las tarifas impuestas por EE. UU. y las represalias internacionales en los mercados financieros, especialmente en relaci\u00f3n con Bitcoin. Seg\u00fan el documento, Bitcoin ha demostrado una gran resiliencia [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":140,"featured_media":13153,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"default","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"set","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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