{"id":12625,"date":"2025-03-31T14:00:42","date_gmt":"2025-03-31T14:00:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.criptofacil.com\/es\/?p=12625"},"modified":"2025-03-28T19:40:12","modified_gmt":"2025-03-28T19:40:12","slug":"si-strategy-mantiene-el-ritmo-el-precio-de-bitcoin-podria-llegar-a-1-millon-de-dolares-segun-bernstein","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.criptofacil.com\/es\/si-strategy-mantiene-el-ritmo-el-precio-de-bitcoin-podria-llegar-a-1-millon-de-dolares-segun-bernstein\/","title":{"rendered":"Si Strategy mantiene el ritmo, el precio de Bitcoin podr\u00eda llegar a 1 mill\u00f3n de d\u00f3lares, seg\u00fan Bernstein"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>La corredur\u00eda Bernstein estima que<strong> Strategy, anteriormente conocida como MicroStrategy, podr\u00eda poseer 1 mill\u00f3n de BTC<\/strong> (el 5% del suministro total de 21 millones) en un escenario optimista. Si esta proyecci\u00f3n se confirma, los analistas indican que el precio de <strong>Bitcoin alcanzar\u00eda los 200.000 d\u00f3lares<\/strong> (aproximadamente 186.000 euros) para finales de 2025, los 500.000 d\u00f3lares (aproximadamente 460.000 euros) para 2029 y <strong>1 mill\u00f3n de d\u00f3lares (aproximadamente 930.000 euros) para 2033<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-large wp-image-313886\" src=\"https:\/\/www.criptofacil.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Bitcoin-Strategy-Bernstein-Mercado-Criptomoeda-1151x840.jpeg\" alt=\"**Texto alternativo para a imagem (acessibilidade):** O gr\u00e1fico de pre\u00e7o do Bitcoin em d\u00f3lar mostra uma trajet\u00f3ria de valoriza\u00e7\u00e3o expressiva a partir de agosto de 2020, quando a Strategy iniciou sua estrat\u00e9gia de compra agressiva da criptomoeda. Antes de 2020, o pre\u00e7o oscilava abaixo de US$ 20 mil, mas, a partir de 2021, inicia uma ascens\u00e3o cont\u00ednua: ultrapassa US$ 60 mil em maio de 2022, atinge US$ 100 mil em setembro de 2023 e chega a US$ 120 mil em janeiro de 2025. A curva evidencia uma correla\u00e7\u00e3o entre as aquisi\u00e7\u00f5es da empresa \u2014 que hoje det\u00e9m mais de 500 mil BTC \u2014 e o aumento sustentado no pre\u00e7o, com picos alinhados a eventos como halvings e ado\u00e7\u00e3o institucional.\" width=\"1151\" height=\"840\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Desde que Strategy comenz\u00f3 a comprar Bitcoin (agosto de 2020), el <a href=\"https:\/\/www.coingecko.com\/en\/coins\/bitcoin\">precio<\/a> ha subido de 10.000 d\u00f3lares a 109.000 d\u00f3lares (alrededor de 101.000 euros).<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Lee tambi\u00e9n: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.criptofacil.com\/es\/la-sec-retira-procesos-contra-empresas-de-criptomonedas-incluida-crypto-com\/\">La SEC retira procesos contra empresas de criptomonedas, incluida Crypto.com<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Proyecciones de precio de Bitcoin<\/h2>\n<p>Seg\u00fan el informe, Bernstein prev\u00e9 que, <strong>si el precio de Bitcoin sigue subiendo, Strategy podr\u00eda duplicar m\u00e1s de una vez su BTC<\/strong> hasta alcanzar 1 mill\u00f3n de unidades para 2033. Esto representar\u00eda el 5% de todos los Bitcoins que existir\u00e1n para entonces (21 millones en total).<\/p>\n<p>Adem\u00e1s, el an\u00e1lisis tambi\u00e9n otorga a Strategy una calificaci\u00f3n de<strong> \u00aboutperform\u00bb<\/strong> (rendimiento superior) y un precio objetivo de <strong>600 d\u00f3lares (alrededor de 560 euros) por acci\u00f3n<\/strong>, lo que representa un aumento del 75% en relaci\u00f3n con el nivel actual.<\/p>\n<p>Para que esto suceda, deben cumplirse tres condiciones: <strong>el precio de Bitcoin debe llegar a 1 mill\u00f3n de d\u00f3lares<\/strong> (aproximadamente 930.000 euros) hasta 2033. Adem\u00e1s, <strong>Strategy necesitar\u00eda conseguir pr\u00e9stamos baratos<\/strong> y vender m\u00e1s acciones para comprar m\u00e1s Bitcoin. Finalmente, no debe haber crisis prolongadas en el mercado; si Bitcoin experimenta ca\u00eddas demasiado largas (m\u00e1s de un a\u00f1o), la estrategia podr\u00eda fracasar.<\/p>\n<p>Bernstein tambi\u00e9n presenta otros dos escenarios. En un escenario intermedio, <strong>si Bitcoin sube pero a un ritmo m\u00e1s lento, Strategy tendr\u00eda alrededor del 4% del total de BTC<\/strong>. En un escenario pesimista, si Bitcoin cae mucho despu\u00e9s de 2025, la empresa podr\u00eda necesitar vender parte de sus BTC para pagar deudas, estanc\u00e1ndose en un 2,6% del total.<\/p>\n<h2>Elogios a la estrategia de Strategy<\/h2>\n<p>Strategy es conocida por usar m\u00e9todos creativos para recaudar dinero y comprar Bitcoin. Emite acciones comunes (MSTR) y preferentes (STRK y STRF), que otorgan dividendos (beneficios) a los compradores. Parte del dinero tambi\u00e9n proviene de pr\u00e9stamos que podr\u00edan convertirse en acciones en el futuro.<\/p>\n<p>Solo en marzo de 2025, <strong>Strategy compr\u00f3 6.911 BTC por 584 millones de d\u00f3lares<\/strong> (alrededor de 542 millones de euros). Desde octubre de 2024, ya ha recaudado 23 mil millones de d\u00f3lares (alrededor de 21,2 mil millones de euros) para invertir en Bitcoin.<\/p>\n<p>Algunos inversores cuestionan si <strong>Strategy est\u00e1 pagando demasiado por Bitcoin<\/strong>. Hoy, el valor de mercado de la empresa (89 mil millones de d\u00f3lares, aproximadamente 82,5 mil millones de euros) es mucho mayor que el valor total de sus BTC (44 mil millones de d\u00f3lares, aproximadamente 40,5 mil millones de euros). Adem\u00e1s, la criptomoneda es vol\u00e1til: en 2024, el precio de Bitcoin ya ha variado un 50%.<\/p>\n<p>Sin embargo, los analistas de Bernstein, liderados por Gautam Chhugani, defienden que <strong>Strategy est\u00e1 gestionando bien los riesgos<\/strong>. La empresa tiene hasta 2028 para <strong>pagar sus deudas y usa estrategias para equilibrar gastos<\/strong> y beneficios. Adem\u00e1s, la estrategia de la empresa ha generado 10 mil millones de d\u00f3lares (aproximadamente 9,3 mil millones de euros) de ganancias solo con la compra de Bitcoin.<\/p>\n<h2>La importancia de Strategy<\/h2>\n<p>Con m\u00e1s de 500.000 BTC (unidades de Bitcoin), <strong>comprados con dinero obtenido mediante pr\u00e9stamos<\/strong>, venta de acciones y otras estrategias financieras, <strong>Strategy se ha convertido en un term\u00f3metro del mercado de Bitcoin<\/strong>. Con un inventario que vale m\u00e1s de 44 mil millones de d\u00f3lares (aproximadamente 40,5 mil millones de euros), la empresa posee el mayor control de Bitcoin en el mundo entre las empresas.<\/p>\n<p>Si sigue creciendo, podr\u00eda atraer a m\u00e1s empresas e inversores hacia la criptomoneda, impulsando el precio de Bitcoin al alza. Por otro lado, si fracasa, podr\u00eda socavar la confianza en Bitcoin.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Lee tambi\u00e9n: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.criptofacil.com\/es\/banco-estatal-de-francia-invierte-27-millones-de-dolares-en-criptomonedas-y-web3\/\">Banco estatal de Francia invierte 27 millones de d\u00f3lares en criptomonedas y Web3<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>La corredur\u00eda Bernstein estima que Strategy, anteriormente conocida como MicroStrategy, podr\u00eda poseer 1 mill\u00f3n de BTC (el 5% del suministro total de 21 millones) en un escenario optimista. Si esta proyecci\u00f3n se confirma, los analistas indican que el precio de Bitcoin alcanzar\u00eda los 200.000 d\u00f3lares (aproximadamente 186.000 euros) para finales de 2025, los 500.000 d\u00f3lares [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":140,"featured_media":12626,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"default","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"set","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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